How do climate scientists make predictions?

But, as NASA climate scientist Kate Marvel explained to BBC World Service programme The Climate Question, nothing is certain.

How do scientists know if climate change made a heat wave, extreme storm or wildfire worse?

When a devastating heat wave, hurricane, flood or wildfire strikes, people often want to know: How much did human-caused ...

Dial-a-crisis: How bureaucrats rig climate models for unlimited power

It is widely assumed that climate policy has receded — that political change has curtailed the influence of climate models.
The Conversation

Making sense of a chaotic planet: How understanding weather and climate risks depends on supercomputers like NCAR’s

Have you ever stopped to wonder how forecasters can predict the weather days in advance, or how scientists figure out how the climate might evolve under different policies? All of this plays out on ...
Phys.org

Scientists have scrapped the worst‑case climate scenario—because action is making a difference

When major new climate change scenarios are released, there's always strong interest. These scenarios lay out what our future climate will look like, depending on how fast we act to cut emissions. Why ...
Science Daily

Climate models may be missing massive carbon emissions from boreal wildfires

Northern wildfires may be more dangerous for the climate than they appear. Researchers found that fires in boreal forests can burn deep into peat soils, releasing ancient carbon stored for hundreds or ...
The Conversation

Scientists have scrapped the worst‑case climate scenario – because action is making a difference

When major new climate change scenarios are released, there’s always strong interest. These scenarios lay out what our future climate will look like, depending on how fast we act to cut emissions. Why ...