Pre-election polls this year underestimated the strength of statewide Democratic candidates. In recent presidential elections, they underestimated the GOP share. A new report on the pre-election poll ...

An explanation of the methodology for most of 538's current polling averages. Almost since its founding, 538 has published comprehensive averages of polls for a wide variety of questions related to ...

No Republican presidential candidate in history did better with Latinos than Donald Trump did in 2024. But there are lots of signs that support has evaporated. Democrats won big victories earlier this ...

We modeled six scenarios for the presidential race. It's early, but it looks like the 2024 election is going to be close. ABC News Illustration by Katrina Stapleton, Brandon Bell & Pool/Getty Images ...

One year ago on Monday, then-President Joe Biden stunned the political world by ending his campaign for re-election. Biden's exit from the 2024 White House race also rocked the Democratic Party, which ...

It was the issue that boosted President Donald Trump and Republicans in the 2024 elections, as they won back the White House and Senate majority and kept control of the House. But a year later, the ...